Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.177040e-03 0.001326 0.001476 0.001639 0.001809 0.001981 0.002168
2025-05-11 9.050395e-04 0.001135 0.001377 0.001648 0.001941 0.002245 0.002584
2025-05-18 6.181631e-04 0.000896 0.001205 0.001565 0.001966 0.002395 0.002883
2025-05-25 4.180002e-04 0.000725 0.001088 0.001530 0.002037 0.002592 0.003233
2025-06-01 2.599355e-04 0.000575 0.000978 0.001489 0.002095 0.002770 0.003564
2025-06-08 1.543323e-04 0.000468 0.000904 0.001482 0.002185 0.002982 0.003930
2025-06-15 9.593890e-05 0.000410 0.000885 0.001537 0.002345 0.003273 0.004386
2025-06-22 4.072551e-05 0.000330 0.000823 0.001531 0.002428 0.003471 0.004735
2025-06-29 1.035648e-05 0.000268 0.000778 0.001539 0.002524 0.003683 0.005098
2025-07-06 5.162267e-07 0.000234 0.000768 0.001592 0.002673 0.003956 0.005530
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000177 0.000710 0.001573 0.002729 0.004115 0.005828
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000125 0.000647 0.001541 0.002763 0.004246 0.006091
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000103 0.000643 0.001603 0.002933 0.004556 0.006584
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000067 0.000600 0.001606 0.003027 0.004781 0.006983
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000024 0.000503 0.001519 0.003001 0.004857 0.007209
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000004 0.000442 0.001481 0.003039 0.005011 0.007527
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000383 0.001439 0.003067 0.005152 0.007830
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000346 0.001430 0.003139 0.005348 0.008198
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000343 0.001484 0.003299 0.005653 0.008698
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000311 0.001477 0.003371 0.005848 0.009063
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000287 0.001485 0.003463 0.006065 0.009455
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000286 0.001536 0.003618 0.006363 0.009946
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.000254 0.001518 0.003668 0.006526 0.010269